A matter of trust

Maybe it's over there, I'll go have a look

As a young bloke for a few years I had no car. Totally my fault. I’d trusted the girlfriend to use it, and the machine was returned blowing smoke out the exhaust. The once trusty old Datsun coupe, was no longer trustworthy, and got sold off. Being the last serious recession there was no spare mad cash for a replacement. Being canny and resourceful, plus young and full of energy, I just rode the bicycle – everywhere – for about two years. This strategy had the benefit of lower costs.

It’s funny how the mind adapts to circumstances. A 20km (12.5 mile) journey on the bicycle in those early days, became no big deal. My grandfather remarked that my youthful sticky-chickeness appeared to be a form of malnourishment. Technically speaking, he the unflattering description: Emaciated. Whatever, the comment was more about his concerns about ageing. But you sure do get fit doing heaps of kilometres every day and not owning a car.

In those days I ran middle distance for sport as well. My results for the 10km (6 mile) run were good, but there were always faster competitors with better endurance. Back then, mini triathlon’s were a thing. So why not give them a go as well? Sadly, strong ocean swimming is not in the natural repertoire of skills, and the time I lost on the swim, had to be made up on the bike and run leg, which was fine by me.

One cold morning, the organisers mentioned that they’d spotted Bronze Whaler (Copper) sharks off shore earlier and hey the breed were considered to be mostly safe with a low probability of attacking humans. It is worthwhile mentioning that according to Wikipedia, three out of ten shark attacks in New Zealand are attributed to Copper sharks. Nice. It was the worst swim ever as my mind was concerned about the risk of being eaten alive.

Another time, they sent us all out for a swim during a powerful storm. The waves were ferocious. Nobody could swim across that big surf. One second you’re plucked high up into the air, only to be dumped on the sand, rinse and repeat. Again, not a great swim. Then there was the jellyfish swarm. Were these ocean creatures poisonous? Maybe, they sure left a nasty rash. After that incident, I’d had enough and quit the sport, ocean swimming wasn’t for me, and my trust of the organisers discernment, had been shattered.

After two years on the bicycle, I’d saved enough money to buy an old car. It was $4,000 for a ten year old Suzuki Sierra (Jimny) soft top. It was so cool, in fact the removable vinyl roof meant that winter drives, were actually a very cold experience. Zippers on the vinyl, meant the machine was constantly broken into by any idiot who may, or may not, have spotted something to steal. It was all a bad idea, with no turning back. At the time, the purchase price, or mad cash required, was the equivalent of 10% of a one, or two bedroom apartment depending on suburb. A brand new Suzuki Dirt Rat back then cost about $12,000, which is almost a third of the price of an apartment. Sadly I was unable to afford a new Suzuki back then, it being the equivalent of half a years salary.

Turns out, that over three decades ago, mad cash clearly bought more house and less car. My how things have changed over the intervening years, and that story has now been totally flipped on its head.

Speaking of sharks and economics, it was difficult to ignore that this past week, the Reserve Bank lifted official interest rates. That number sets the tone for what borrowers are likely to pay on their borrowings. Not all by any means, but a whole bunch (i.e. most) of the debt in Australia is priced based on these variable official rates. Depending on how much debt a person owes as of this week, they’ll suddenly find themselves having less money to spend on other stuff.

Please excuse the pun, but in an interesting side story, I believe about 5% of all home loans in this country have fixed interest and fixed terms (down from an alarming 46% a few years ago). Those things work a bit differently to the usual mortgage, because generally it’s for a set period of time (1 to an absolute maximum I believe of 10 years) and the borrower has restrictions on paying off any of the amount borrowed. To me they look like a gamble that the house will be worth more at the end of the loan when it expires, and people may forget that the replacement loan then has to be reapplied for. The author Michael Lewis, in his book: The Big Short, used less flattering words: A rental with debt. Such an arrangement would make me nervous. To the banks though, these loans are probably a nice easy way to package the things up and sell off as bonds to investors.

What’s a bond, you ask? It’s an agreement to hand over mad cash to receive interest for a fixed period of time, and hopefully you’ll get the face value of the thing returned when it finishes. It’s like a loan, but in reverse where you are stumping the up front money. Banks issue the things. Governments and corporations do too. The market for this paper is enormous and complicated.

Working out how much interest is agreed to pay for any bond (the bond yield) is a process which is beyond my knowledge. But, one hears that the rates being demanded by bond traders in exchange for their mad cash, are going up. You’d imagine this situation was at the back of the mind of the fat cats at the Reserve Bank when they made their decision last week. To my mind, the bond traders are expressing a lack of trust in the paper their dealing. Hardly surprising given the Aussie government cracked the one trillion dollar debt limit a few weeks ago. Not to be outdone, our American friends cracked the forty trillion dollar line the same week. An impressive achievement.

Clearly mad cash has devalued over the past 30 years. But what is truly bizarre about the whole thing, is that governments spend more mad cash than they earn, thus necessitating the need for a bond market in the first place. It’s kind of weird. And all that borrowed money gets spent by the government within the broader community and presumably some also ends up in the hands of the bond traders. To me, the increased bond yields looks as if they’re worrying about maintaining the value of what they have accumulated over the years, so they decide to punish the borrowers the only way they can – by lifting their demands which increases bond yields.

And around and around it goes, where it stops, nobody knows. Tell ya what though, under the advice of others, I’ve swum with sharks, and it was not a relaxing experience. Far from it actually. What I learned from that experience, was that trust is hard won, and people in authority can be careless when it’s not their bits on the line.

Diesel Cam tells no lies, that's AU$2.92/Litre or US$7.77/Gallon
Diesel Cam tells no lies, that’s AU$2.92/Litre or US$7.77/Gallon

It was an astoundingly wet week. A crazy storm originating from the tropical Indian Ocean dumped over three inches of rain. So much for the super El Niño. After the third continuous day of wet stuff falling out of the sky, I’d started to wonder if it would ever cease. It did not let up for one minute.

We've got both types of wet, fog and rain
We’ve got both types of wet, fog and rain

Water was running everywhere, and fortunately due to the infrastructure, that meant away from the house. At one point a natural spring began gushing water from a vertical clay surface.

Water oozed out of this clay wall for days
Water oozed out of this clay wall for days

No outdoors work could be done in that weather, but at the start of the week we did prepare and plant out the potato enclosure. Ideally, having grown potatoes in the large garden bed last summer, we’d have put them somewhere else this year. That couldn’t happen, so over winter we’d let the garden bed be over-run with weeds which may help the lack of crop rotation. It was pretty feral in there:

The potato enclosure was allowed to get very weedy during winter
The potato enclosure was allowed to get very weedy during winter

The powerful self propelled slasher was used to run over the tallest of the weeds.

The Deutscher self propelled slasher was used to destroy the largest weeds
The Deutscher self propelled slasher was used to destroy the largest weeds

The much smaller utility mower was then used to mulch up all of the weedy material on the ground into a fine layer of organic matter.

A utility mower finely mulches up the chopped up organic matter
A utility mower finely mulches up the chopped up organic matter

Then the scary old rototiller turned over the soil in the entire garden bed down to about a foot deep.

The scary old rototiller turns over the soil in the potato enclosure
The scary old rototiller turns over the soil in the potato enclosure

During rototilling I found many tubers from last years crop. Any that were intact, were replanted. The purple variety has grown here in various locations, for many years and is quite tasty.

Some of last years spuds
Some of last years spuds

The soil looked really good and deep, but why not chuck a trailer load of compost mixture onto the huge garden bed just to spice things up. I also added the usual things such as: Something from the sea + Gypsum + Garden Lime + Blood and Bone meal.

The author mixes up a trailer load of compost for the potato enclosure
The author mixes up a trailer load of compost for the potato enclosure

I’ve been told by reliable sources not to add lime to soil growing potatoes, but have never found this to be an issue. It is worthwhile noting that lime in my soils reduces the incidence of fungal disease. It is possible the advice is wrong, or not widely applicable. The compost was heaped on the uphill side of where the tubers were planted, and a rake can be used to hill up the vines as they grow.

The potato enclosure is looking super neat
The potato enclosure is looking super neat

The wet weather was hard on the forest critters, and Dame Plum caught a few unawares, like this hapless rat.

Dame Plum caught this rat
Dame Plum caught this rat

The two Kelpies cornered the largest wild rabbit I’d ever seen. It was well fed beast having been caught munching on plants in the rose and raspberry enclosure! What is weird, that at first Dame Plum was unable to see the rabbit – which was right in front of her. Check this out:

Sniff. There may be something in the area
Sniff. There may be something in the area
I really don't know where the rabbit is
I really don’t know where the rabbit is
Maybe it's over there, I'll go have a look
Maybe it’s over there, I’ll go have a look

Meanwhile the rabbit played dead, and did not move a muscle. I chucked a stick at the bunny and it fled, and once on the move Dame Plum got it. I’ve seen other dogs struggle to spot rabbits at close range too and had always wondered about that. This time by sheer chance, I had the camera with me. Wild rabbits are a menace in this country.

Got it boss!
Got it boss!

The wet weather was a great time to finish off the work of restoring the forty year old Yamaha amplifier. The work makes absolutely no economic sense whatsoever. It was $200 to buy second hand with about $75 of parts, and ten hours of labour, when a brand new one of equivalent quality would be around $600. It’s a hobby, and the thing sounds great!

Wet weather is the perfect time for indoor activities
Wet weather is the perfect time for indoor activities

Sandra also used the time to make a batch of soap. Proper soap is a product of pure delightfulness, so much better on your skin than the detergents most people use.

A batch of soap was made up
A batch of soap was made up

In breaking produce news:

Apricots continue to swell and hopefully if we avoid a late frost, hailstorm, super cell, tornado, parrots, wallabies, deer, rats and some other stuff, we might get a good harvest.

Apricots continue to put on size
Apricots continue to put on size

The plums were in blossom as the heavy rain fell this week, so I’m guessing about only half have set fruit, but that might still be a good harvest, maybe.

Tiny little plums develop on this tree
Tiny little plums develop on this tree

In other produce photos:

Silverbeet grows like a lusty weed here
Silverbeet grows like a lusty weed here
Perennial rocket is a favourite summer green, and has effectively become a weed
Perennial rocket is a favourite summer green, and has effectively become a weed
The raspberry canes are going feral in this weather
The raspberry canes are going feral in this weather
Grape Cam tells no lies...
Grape Cam tells no lies…

Onto the flowers:

These Nasturtiums survived the winter and are off to an early start
These Nasturtiums survived the winter and are off to an early start
Bluebells grow happily under these two Olive trees
Bluebells grow happily under these two Olive trees
Daffodils continue to please the eye
Daffodils continue to please the eye
Forget me nots grow in profusion under an apricot
Forget me nots grow in profusion under an apricot
It's Rhodie time!
It’s Rhodie time!

The temperature outside now at about 11am is 13’C (55’F). So far for this year there has been 1,009.0mm (39.7 inches) which is up from last weeks total of 926.6mm (36.5 inches)

Comments

3 responses to “A matter of trust”

  1. Lew Avatar
    Lew

    Yo, Chris – Yes, when I think back on the vast distances, that me and my mates bicycled … and walked, for that matter. But, due to a misfiring thyroid gland, emaciated was never a state I achieved. And, by the time that was adjusted, my bicycling days were over.

    Well, one thing about the sharks. I bet it really lit a fire, under your …. fins? 🙂

    Yes, not all that long ago, I was able to buy a new truck, for $12,000. And, during the course of my life, purchased two houses. Gone are the days…

    I’ve been seeing all kinds of headlines, about bonds and interest rates. I don’t read the articles. Wouldn’t understand them, anyway. And, if I did, what could I do?

    That’s quit the picture, of the spring popping out of the hillside. One hopes it isn’t lubricating the clay, too much.

    I was going to ask if you ran across any volunteers, in your potato enclosure. And, there they are! Potatoes are almost invasive. But, at least useful. And, tasty. Once you plant some, they’re likely to pop up, anywhere.

    When I first looked at the header photo, I didn’t see the rabbit, either. It’s hard to know how dogs perceive the world. Rabbit evolution probably selected for rabbits, that could hold absolutely still. The last place I lived, my cat Nell used to gift me with various wildlife, on the doormat. One day, there was Peter Rabbit’s pants. At least, that’s what it looked like. All very neat and tidy.

    I’m sure the amplifier, will give you years of listening pleasure. Chris needs his tunes! 🙂

    Looks like you might have a bumper crop, of a few things. Save all the perils you mentioned. I don’t know why, but the deer haven’t touched my red silverbeet. They totally trashed a yellow variety.

    We have nasturtiums, here, that are almost on the invasive side. They’re likely to pop up, anywhere. Same with our Forget-me-nots. But, at least both of those, are very easy to remove. Unlike the Lemon Balm.

    The skirt of bluebells under the olive trees, really set them off. A lot classier, than fast fashion. 🙂 Lew

  2. Chris at Fernglade Farm Avatar

    Hi Lewis,

    Good stuff, and everyone is different on that front, and sometimes the body can be complicated, as you’d have discovered there. You sent me on rabbit hole on the subject of the thyroid, and metabolism regulation. What a mares nest, and you’d have had to change your diet utterly I’d imagine? Mate, it is amazing that we’re all still here and functioning.

    And yeah, I’ve heard of too many older fellas who’d fallen from their bicycles. It’s harder to bounce back with more years under the belt so to speak, so why risk the injuries? Respect. You know, I’ve mentioned this to you before, but having known plenty of older runners over the years, I made the decision to stop doing that sport the moment my knees gave me any trouble. Turned out to be a good decision. Wear and tear can be a serious bummer and the replacements only last so long.

    Ha! Very funny, and I’d have loved to have used some fins to blitz those ocean swims. Oh the howling which would have ensued… The casual mention of the shark sightings by the organisers scared the daylights out of me and totally put me off the event.

    The dollar doesn’t buy what it used to – welcome to the bright shiny future. 🙂 Hey, if the powers that be could restrain from continually expanding the money supply, we’d have other problems. The whole thing is the very nature of a predicament, but our leaders are choosing the easy path, for them, which may not include us.

    My point exactly! What can any of us do to influence the machinations of the mad cash printers and their pet traders? All we can but do is try not to become too exposed to the silliness and hope any ill economic winds don’t turn into a tornado. This of course takes a strong will to avoid indulging. Sadly people tend to view sorting out the basics as an unattractive option. Oh well… But yeah, what you said.

    No fear of that with the spring! And yes it is a risk. The water in this instance is following the course of an old tree root, which has long since decayed. We’re kind of onto the whole landslide risk, mostly because I spent three days fixing one up many years ago. Recovering from disaster focuses the mind wonderfully, and most of the systems here are now well tested by some atrocious storms. Four inches in an hour, we can kind of deal with. More than that, could be a problem. 🙂

    Potatoes are pretty weedy, and some of them even produce little seeds which volunteer entirely new varieties. Relying on that plant troubles me, but enjoying some tasty produce is altogether an entirely different matter.

    We cleaned up the last of the seasons garden beds today. Mixed up another trailer load of compost and mineral additives. Of the two long garden beds, one has been planted out with a mixture of kale, mustard greens and silverbeet. The other, we’re not entirely sure as to what will get planted, but at this stage I’m thinking that the buckwheat will go in there and maybe some corn.

    Well, the old timers have a saying about a: “rabbit in the headlights”, which sort of suggests exactly that strategy of freezing. It sure worked for Dame Plum, and if I’d not been around, the big bunny would have gotten away. The dog sniffed the critter too, and dismissed it, so yeah, selection pressures would be strong. I had the impression that the bouncy fast thing slid in under the gate. I’ll have to do something about this situation.

    One wonders if the rabbit didn’t mind losing its pants to Nell? And these things happen. After the intestinal worm matter a few years ago, I take the dead critters away from the dogs and chuck the carcass in the worm farm.

    It’s a real pleasure to bring back old equipment from the refuse pile. It’s a bit sad that I couldn’t make any mad cash from the skills, but many things are mispriced in these enlightened days. Maybe when new stuff gets less easy to obtain, the skill will prove to be valuable? Dunno. When I was a kid, everything was old and crusty, and well looked after. We’re so much more progressed these days.

    Ooo, wonder if your deer see the colour yellow differently to that of red? That plant comes in a number of shades, and I’ve often wondered if there are different minerals to be enjoyed from each of the slightly different varieties? Dunno.

    Actually, I’m with you, both of those plants are invasive, but super easy to remove. Took out a small patch of forget me nots this afternoon that were threatening to overshadow some local ferns. We were discussing the lemon balm this afternoon, and will hit it with the hedge trimmer. If there were another way… I read mention of the plant in relation to thyroid, although it’s probably not applicable to your situation. Might try a tea of the stuff this evening.

    Thanks and the olive trees and bluebells exist together nicely. By the way, the bluebells are spreading, which is no bad thing. The pollinating insects love the flowers. And they’re blue!

    The Professor has also suggested that you may be in for some northern lights with a potential for Aurora. Probably a bit too much light pollution where you are. There have been some instances in the past year when the southern lights are meant to have been seen here, and all I observed were what looked like streaks of milky light, and that’s it. Very underwhelming. Have you ever seen the northern lights?

    Ah, isn’t that process called ‘doxxing’, whatever that means? Well, the bloke probably has to get a new phone. You know man, at such times you discover that you’re living in a federation, which doesn’t always agree on policies between one area and another. I’m not into the time shifting because it upends my sleep patterns. Is it really necessary I get up an hour earlier?

    🙂 Always wise to continue using the ol’ brain, because that is what it is there for! But my gut feeling says that just like muscles and the skeletal structure, probably best if used, but not overdone. Too much usage can be a bad thing. If you work out where the mid-point is for all that, please do let me know?

    Oh poop. Man, they might not fix up the broken flash light ;-), although some glues these days are pretty amazing.

    I was just mucking around about the Evil Dead film, but I must say that the trailer really set the scene for the main event. Pah! I’ve had some spoilers in films, and often they were of the two legged variety getting up to mischief.

    Pure speculation time, it occurs to me that the ending was perhaps criticised because some of the reviewers may not have wanted an ending? Anyway, opinions are everywhere, and glad to hear that you enjoyed the wind up of the much loved series.

    Hope you get some warm weather over the next few weeks and the pumpkin continues to put on size. Looking at the forecast here, maybe Wednesday morning could be pretty cold. Fingers crossed that doesn’t happen, but you never know. Some of the apple trees are beginning to produce blossoms, and that plant usually knows its stuff.

    The garden is mostly set up for the growing season now, but it’s still too early to set out seeds, maybe in another week or two. Might have to start some more chilli plants indoors. Probably the next job will be firewood processing and pruning the trees in the orchard. It’s been remarkably wet, so I’m reluctant to do too much pruning at this stage, and may even wait until high summer. Dunno, much depends on rainfall.

    Cheers

    Chris

  3. Lew Avatar
    Lew

    Yo, Chris – Of course, it was 60 years ago, and I don’t have many clear memories of the whole process. And, at that time, I think medicine was doing a bit “shooting in the dark.” But I do remember that I took a basal metabolism test,” which, at that time, they thought might indicate an under active thyroid. So, I was on some, I think, medicated “speed” for about a year. I remember that it made me highly irritable, when I wasn’t sleeping. 🙂 Dosage was adjusted, down. Ever since, as long as I eat sensibly, weight is not a problem.

    Yup, people wear down, and old guys need to know when to throw in the towel, on some activities. Or, at least ask for help. I tripped in the garden, the other night. Some zinnia had volunteered on the bark chips, between planting tanks, and some (I know who) moron had put a little wire fence around it. I was getting a watering can, and tripped. I didn’t go down, but slightly injured my ankle and neck.

    “…we’d have other problems.” I see there was an “accident” in a Russian plague lab, in Siberia. One dead, but no spread … as far as we know. Not if but when.

    I remember your landslide. A real wake up call.

    Here we say, “like a deer caught in the headlights.” I got curious about the phrase, and found a delightfully named website. “The Village Idiom.” How cleaver.

    https://www.thevillageidiom.org/idioms/deer-in-the-headlights-idiom-meaning-and-origin/

    LOL. Forget-me-not seeds are a real pain in the … ear. They stick to everything. No wonder they spread, so easy. Lemon balm, is a nice plant, with lots of uses. If it only wasn’t so darned invasive. It really has a nice smell, and, if you don’t have a lemon handy, will impart that flavor to food. And, yes, it makes a nice herbal tea.

    The Northern Lights are often predicted, for here, but I’ve never seen them. Yes, light pollution and hills and trees in the way. I did see them, when I took that one trip half way across Canada. But, as I remember, it was a pretty whimpy show.

    Yes, that did occur to me, that perhaps some of the dissatisfaction with the end of “Stranger Things.
    was due to people just not wanting it to end. I felt a bit of that, when I finished off the “True Blood,” series. Oh, well. As someone said, “All good things must come to an end.” Chaucer, actually, in a poem from the 1300s. 🙂

    Our high yesterday was 73F (22.77C). Our overnight low was 50F (10C). Our forecast high for today is 72F. More fog, this morning.

    You might find this article about forest recovery, after wildfires, interesting. There’s a bit about controlled burns.

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/science/articles/wildfires-across-us-changing-forest-160045065.html

    I keep forgetting, you asked about pumpkins and mildew. Yup, I got some. But, as it’s the end of the growing season, I’m not too concerned. After I clean up after the pumpkins, I’ll spray down the area with white vinegar. And, plant some mustard. That seemed to take care of the problem, when I had it with green beans. I spotted another golf ball sized pumpkin. So that’s a total of four, but I think two of them won’t mature enough. They should have got their act together, earlier. :-). Lew

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